The Demographic Time Bomb

The NHS is facing a crisis of ageing. We are living longer even than the average citizen of the US, so something is right about our health system. But we will not be able to cope in the near future and already the Regional Health Services, particularly in Wales, but across the UK are imploding.

Media comment is attached below.

100 not out

The graphics at the end of the attachment are interesting, and here is one courtesy of the Daily Mail on line.

Ninety and over

The Spectator Melanie Phillips reports 27th July 2013:

The elderly are driving the recovery. It’s time for generational jihadists to say ‘thanks’

young-and-old-privileged-generation
UK Population
Demographic Time Bomb
Update 17th November 2013:
Jeroen Spijker and John MacInnes in the BMJ November 2013 argue that current measures of population ageing are misleading and that the numbers of dependent older people in the UK and other countries have actually been falling in recent years
An extract:
F1_medium

Fig 1 Change in life expectancy (in years) in England and Wales within each decade broken down by age group, 1950-2010 (data from www.mortality.org). Life expectancy increased by 2.6 years between 2000 and 2010,  0.1 years of which came from improved infant and child survival and, respectively 0.5 and 2.0 years from lower mortality among 5-64 and ≥65 year olds

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About Roger Burns - retired GP

I am a retired GP and medical educator. I have supported patient participation throughout my career, and my practice, St Thomas; Surgery, has had a longstanding and active Patient Participation Group (PPG). I support the idea of Community Health Councils, although I feel they should be funded at arms length from government. I have taught GP trainees for 30 years, and been a Programme Director for GP training in Pembrokeshire 20 years. I served on the Pembrokeshire LHG and LHB for a total of 10 years. I completed an MBA in 1996, and I along with most others, never had an exit interview from any job in the NHS! I completed an MBA in 1996, and was a runner up for the Adam Smith prize for economy and efficiency in government in that year. This was owing to a suggestion (St Thomas' Mutual) that practices had incentives for saving by being allowed to buy rationed out services in the following year.